Issue 28 Mar 11 2026 5 min read

Inventory pushed ahead of demand this week.

Demand is still there - just not for everything.

Market balance

Buyer Seller
2 / 10

Buyer market - buyers have clear control.

New listings 0 Choice widened.
Sales 0 Only a little moved.
Absorption
(4wk avg)
0 Inventory isn’t clearing quickly.
Market pressure Buyer edge Buyers have leverage - pricing needs to be sharp to move.
Buyer take

Expect choice, and do not be afraid to negotiate.

Seller take

Pricing and presentation need to do the heavy lifting.

Market read

The week, in plain English

Nothing about this week felt wild, but it did feel revealing. 7 new listings arrived while 2 sales closed. Supply is opening up faster than deals are getting finished. 0 sold over ask while 2 sold under ask. Taken together, this was a market that stayed active, but only rewarded listings that were positioned correctly. The board is showing more visible seller adjustments.

What I’m watching next

Whether buyers keep acting on the sharp listings first.

If the clean listings move early, demand is still there underneath this. If they do not, the next push likely comes from sellers getting sharper on price rather than from buyers suddenly disappearing.

The charts that matter

The charts that matter

To put this week in context, the longer line is more useful than the headline total. That is the better way to tell whether supply and demand are actually changing. The better read here is about direction, not drama.

Inventory

107 current

High 136 · Low 39.0

Inventory

107 homes on market

Supply is running above last year, giving buyers more room to compare and negotiate.

1-year view

In this view: High 136 · Low 39 · Avg 107

Current snapshot: Current 107 · Vs last year ↑ 5% · 79% of cycle high

Low Inventory cycle High

Sales pace

2.63 / week

High 5.38 · Low 1.00

Sales

2.625 sales/week

Demand is present, but monthly absorption remains light relative to available supply.

1-year view

In this view: Avg 2.625 · Absorption 0.0% monthly · Range high 5.375

Current snapshot: Current 2.625 · Vs last year 0% · Balanced conditions.

New listings

New listings

The easiest place to start is with new inventory. That usually sets the pace for everything that follows. From there, the rest of the week is really about response.

If I’m trying to get a fast read on the week, I start here.

2 Huckleberry Place - $1,399,000

Worth watching early - detached launches often tell you fastest whether buyers are prepared to act or just compare.

Also new this week

New sales

New sales

Closed sales still suggested buyers had room to negotiate.

The market is still making sellers wait when value is not obvious. That tells you buyers have enough choice to stay calm. Homes that do not line up on day one may need a clearer second act. 0 sold over ask while 2 sold under ask. Median sold price was $891,750. The board is showing more visible seller adjustments. That tells you buyers are not accepting stretch pricing automatically. Listings that start too high may need to correct before momentum builds.

Price cuts

Price cuts

  • 0 visible price cuts this week
  • Weekly cut rate: 0.0% of active listings

Pressure on the board

  • 31 active listings are currently trading below original list
  • Reduced active share: 31.3% of the current active board
  • Expired / cancelled this week: 1 (1 expired, 0 cancelled)
  • 4-week average: 0.3 cuts/week
  • 12-week average: 0.9 cuts/week

Largest active cuts to watch

  • Largest cut0 visible price cuts this week
  • Weekly cut rate: 0.0% of active listings

Pressure on the board

  • 31 active listings are currently trading below original list
  • Reduced active share: 31.3% of the current active board
  • Expired / cancelled this week: 1 (1 expired, 0 cancelled)
  • 4-week average: 0.3 cuts/week
  • 12-week average: 0.9 cuts/week

Active cuts to watch

Closing insight

Closing insight

Inventory is building faster than demand. Buyers have the edge here.

Data notes. Data sourced from MLS activity for the week ending Mar 11 2026. Numbers reflect the Fernie market unless otherwise noted.

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