Issue 29 Mar 19 2026 5 min read

Listings and sales stayed fairly close this week.

The market is working, but still filtering hard.

Market balance

Buyer Seller
4 / 10

Balanced - slight buyer edge.

New listings 0 Choice widened.
Sales 0 Buyers showed up.
Absorption
(4wk avg)
0 Enough moved to keep things active.
Market pressure Buyer edge Buyers have leverage - pricing needs to be sharp to move.
Buyer take

Expect choice, and do not be afraid to negotiate.

Seller take

Pricing and presentation need to do the heavy lifting.

Market read

The week, in plain English

On paper the week held together. 7 new listings arrived while 6 sales closed. Listings and closings were fairly close this week. 2 sold over ask while 3 sold under ask. Taken together, this was a market that stayed active, but only rewarded listings that were positioned correctly. Price moves are doing more of the market’s talking right now.

What I’m watching next

Whether this new inventory gets absorbed cleanly.

If the sharper listings keep moving first, the market likely stays balanced but selective. If they start to stall, that usually means the next move comes from pricing, not from a lack of interest.

Subscribers only

Enter your phone number to unlock the rest of this issue.

Inside this issue

Listings, sales, price cuts, charts, and the closing market read.

The charts that matter

The charts that matter

The charts help show whether this week was noise or part of a broader pattern. That is where the broader balance becomes easier to see. The better read here is about direction, not drama.

Inventory

99.0 current

High 136 · Low 39.0

Inventory

99 homes on market

Supply is running below last year, which keeps fresh, well-priced listings more competitive.

1-year view

In this view: High 136 · Low 39 · Avg 99

Current snapshot: Current 99 · Vs last year ↓ 8% · 73% of cycle high

Low Inventory cycle High

Sales pace

3.13 / week

High 5.38 · Low 1.00

Sales

3.125 sales/week

Demand is present, but monthly absorption remains light relative to available supply.

1-year view

In this view: Avg 3.125 · Absorption 0.0% monthly · Range high 5.375

Current snapshot: Current 3.125 · Vs last year ↑ 4% · Balanced conditions.

New listings

New listings

The first signal this week came from supply. That is often the first place balance starts to shift. That is what the market then has to respond to.

I usually start with new inventory because it sets the pace for everything that follows.

1360 McLeod Avenue - $1,199,000

Worth watching early - detached launches often tell you fastest whether buyers are prepared to act or just compare.

Also new this week

New sales

New sales

Closed sales still suggested buyers had room to negotiate.

One listing cleared quickly while another took the long road. There is participation here, but it is still narrow. That usually means comparison shopping is still shaping decisions. Homes that miss the mark may sit longer than expected. 2 sold over ask while 3 sold under ask. Median sold price was $969,500. Price moves are doing more of the market’s talking right now. That suggests sellers are being forced closer to the market faster. Listings that start too high may need to correct before momentum builds.

Price cuts

Price cuts

The softest part of the week showed up in pricing behaviour. That is where discipline gets tested fastest. That gives a better read on seller pressure than inventory alone.

No fresh price cuts landed this week, but the reduction layer is still active on the board.

  • 0 visible price cuts this week
  • Weekly cut rate: 0.0% of active listings

Pressure on the board

  • 31 active listings are currently trading below original list
  • Reduced active share: 31.3% of the current active board
  • Expired / cancelled this week: 14 (11 expired, 3 cancelled)
  • 4-week average: 0.3 cuts/week
  • 12-week average: 0.9 cuts/week

Largest active cuts to watch

  • Largest cut0 visible price cuts this week
  • Weekly cut rate: 0.0% of active listings

Pressure on the board

  • 31 active listings are currently trading below original list
  • Reduced active share: 31.3% of the current active board
  • Expired / cancelled this week: 14 (11 expired, 3 cancelled)
  • 4-week average: 0.3 cuts/week
  • 12-week average: 0.9 cuts/week

Active cuts to watch

Closing insight

Closing insight

This is a balanced market, leaning buyer in how deals are getting done.

Data notes. Data sourced from MLS activity for the week ending Mar 19 2026. Numbers reflect the Fernie market unless otherwise noted.

Stay in the loop

Want the next issue sent by text?

Get one clean update when a new Fernie Insider issue lands. No clutter - just the weekly market read.

Occasional SMS only. Reply STOP anytime.