Issue 31 Feb 13 2026 5 min read

Sales outpaced new listings this week.

Buyers still had room to push back.

Market balance

Buyer Seller
5 / 10

Balanced - slight buyer edge.

New listings 0 Supply stayed light.
Sales 0 Buyers showed up.
Absorption
(4wk avg)
0 Inventory isn’t clearing quickly.
Market pressure Balanced - buyer lean No clear control - buyers have a slight edge.
Buyer take

Expect choice, but be ready to act on clean listings.

Seller take

Pricing and presentation are still deciding outcomes.

Market read

The week, in plain English

This was not a slow week. 3 new listings arrived while 6 sales closed. Sales are keeping up well with incoming inventory. 0 sold over ask while 3 sold under ask. Taken together, this was a market that stayed active, but only rewarded listings that were positioned correctly. Sellers are negotiating in real time.

What I’m watching next

Whether extra supply leads to action or just more comparison.

If absorption stays this firm, the better-positioned listings may not wait around for second looks. If it slips, that firmer tone probably fades quickly once more supply shows up.

The charts that matter

The charts that matter

To put this week in context, the longer line is more useful than the headline total. That is usually where short-term noise stops looking like a real shift. That gives a cleaner read on whether the market is tightening, softening, or just pausing.

Inventory

98.0 current

High 136 · Low 39.0

Inventory

98 homes on market

Supply is running below last year, which keeps fresh, well-priced listings more competitive.

1-year view

In this view: High 136 · Low 39 · Avg 98

Current snapshot: Current 98 · Vs last year ↓ 3% · 72% of cycle high

Low Inventory cycle High

Sales pace

2.38 / week

High 5.38 · Low 1.00

Sales

2.375 sales/week

Demand is present, but monthly absorption remains light relative to available supply.

1-year view

In this view: Avg 2.375 · Absorption 0.0% monthly · Range high 5.375

Current snapshot: Current 2.375 · Vs last year ↓ 14% · Balanced conditions.

New listings

New listings

If you want the tone of the week, start with what hit the board. That matters because this is still a market that filters hard. That sets up the rest of the week.

The first real signal this week came from supply. That is where buyers decide whether to act or wait.

The easiest place to start this week is with new inventory.

A-8 Creek Place - $735,500

Worth watching early - detached launches often tell you fastest whether buyers are prepared to act or just compare.

Detached launches like this tend to tell you quickly whether buyers are ready to move - or still comparing.

Also new this week

See all listings →

New sales

New sales

Closed sales still suggested buyers had room to negotiate.

One listing cleared quickly while another took the long road. Demand is showing up, but not in a way that clears everything. That still feels like buyers are screening hard before they move. The better-aligned listings should still separate first. 0 sold over ask while 3 sold under ask. Median sold price was $537,500. Sellers are negotiating in real time. That suggests sellers are being forced closer to the market faster. Sellers who align early may avoid longer periods of drift.

Price cuts

Price cuts

If the market pushed back anywhere, it was here. That is where sellers start reacting to the market they have, not the one they wanted. That makes this section useful well beyond the raw count.

No fresh price cuts landed this week, but the reduction layer is still active on the board.

  • 0 visible price cuts this week
  • Weekly cut rate: 0.0% of active listings

Pressure on the board

  • 31 active listings are currently trading below original list
  • Reduced active share: 31.3% of the current active board
  • Expired / cancelled this week: 3 (3 expired, 0 cancelled)
  • 4-week average: 1.5 cuts/week
  • 12-week average: 0.8 cuts/week

Largest active cuts to watch

  • Largest cut0 visible price cuts this week
  • Weekly cut rate: 0.0% of active listings

Pressure on the board

  • 31 active listings are currently trading below original list
  • Reduced active share: 31.3% of the current active board
  • Expired / cancelled this week: 3 (3 expired, 0 cancelled)
  • 4-week average: 1.5 cuts/week
  • 12-week average: 0.8 cuts/week

Active cuts to watch

Closing insight

Closing insight

Demand is keeping up with supply. This is leaning seller.

Data notes. Data sourced from MLS activity for the week ending Feb 13 2026. Numbers reflect the Fernie market unless otherwise noted.

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