Issue 24 Nov 19 2022 5 min read

The board looked balanced at the top line.

Nothing here looked dramatic - just selective.

Market balance

Buyer Seller
6 / 10

Balanced - sellers have a slight edge.

New listings 0 No fresh supply showed up - buyers were left with the board already in front of them.
Sales 0 No deals closed - buyers may be watching, but they did not convert this week.
Absorption
(4wk avg)
0 No absorption this week - the board added waiting, not clearance.
Market pressure Balanced - seller lean No clear control - sellers have a slight edge.
Buyer take

Good listings can still move early - hesitation can cost you.

Seller take

Well-positioned listings can still create momentum.

Market read

The week, in plain English

This was a useful week because it showed where buyers would act - and where they would not. 0 new listings arrived while 0 sales closed. This week produced activity, but not finality. The sold column stayed quiet this week. Taken together, that made this feel like a market that was still moving, but in a more selective and disciplined way than the headline numbers alone might suggest. What stands out just as much is what did not happen: there was not enough here to suggest the market suddenly turned urgent. For sellers, that usually means the homes attracting attention are still the ones with sharper pricing, cleaner presentation, or fewer reasons for a buyer to hesitate.

What I’m watching next

Whether buyers keep acting on the sharp listings first.

If the sharper listings keep moving first, the market likely stays balanced but selective. If they start to stall, that usually means the next move comes from pricing, not from a lack of interest.

The charts that matter

The charts that matter

The numbers make more sense once you zoom out. That is the better way to tell whether supply and demand are actually changing. That gives a cleaner read on whether the market is tightening, softening, or just pausing.

Inventory

39.0 current

High 39.0 · Low 39.0

Inventory

39 homes on market

Supply is tracking closely to last year, pointing to a steadier inventory backdrop.

1-year view

In this view: High 39 · Low 39 · Avg 39

Current snapshot: Current 39 · Vs last year 0% · 100% of cycle high

Low Inventory cycle High

Sales pace

1.00 / week

High 1.00 · Low 1.00

Sales

1 sales/week

Demand is present, but monthly absorption remains light relative to available supply.

1-year view

In this view: Avg 1 · Absorption 0.0% monthly · Range high 1

Current snapshot: Current 1 · Vs last year 0% · Balanced conditions.

Price cuts

Price cuts

  • 0 visible price cuts this week
  • Weekly cut rate: 0.0% of active listings

Pressure on the board

  • 31 active listings are currently trading below original list
  • Reduced active share: 31.3% of the current active board
  • 4-week average: 0.0 cuts/week
  • 12-week average: 0.0 cuts/week

Largest active cuts to watch

  • Largest cut0 visible price cuts this week
  • Weekly cut rate: 0.0% of active listings

Pressure on the board

  • 31 active listings are currently trading below original list
  • Reduced active share: 31.3% of the current active board
  • 4-week average: 0.0 cuts/week
  • 12-week average: 0.0 cuts/week

Active cuts to watch

Closing insight

Closing insight

For now, this still feels like a market that rewards fit, pricing, and patience more than broad momentum.

Data notes. Data sourced from MLS activity for the week ending Nov 19 2022. Numbers reflect the Fernie market unless otherwise noted.

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